Probability of Being Sick After Having Tested Positive for a Disease (Bayes's Rule)

Probability of Being Sick After Having Tested Positive for a Disease (Bayes's Rule)

demonstrations.wolfram.com The Wolfram Demonstrations Project contains thousands of free interactive visualizations, with new entries added daily. For rare diseases, people tend to intuitively overestimate the probability of being sick after having received a positive test result. This probability is calculated using Bayes's theorem from some of the conditional probabilities involved in the scenar... Contributed by: Frank Scherbaum After work by: Gerd Gigerenzer

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